資産10倍ならアメリカ株、だよね

世界の動きを感じる、胸熱だ・・・ 

UNITY SOFTWARE INC と XPENG INC ADR (XPEV)

2銘柄を学ぶにつれて、ワクワクしてきた。
2021年中に10倍、20倍もあり得る可能性を秘めている、と感じた。

今晩11時半、アメリカ株市場も始まる。

そこでどちらを買うか。どちらも買えばいいというコメントもあった、
ライスもポートフォリオを組んでくれていてそれぞれを見た

ユニティへの全突っ張を検討していただ、シャオペンのチャートを
見るにつれ、これは今日買っておくのが美味しいんじゃないのか、と?
自動車セクター全体での連れ安にどうも引っ張られている
連れ安ってやつだな

であるならシャオペンに今回は行くべきではないかと
だがユニティも調べるにつれてほしくなる、非常に悩ましい問題だ

ただシャオペンを調べていてある米国株ブログにいきついた

ライス二郎は知っているかもしれんが
只今80歳。生きるのが楽しい。
というブログにたどりついた。とても愉快なブログなのだがそのなかで激押しなのが

明日(2021年)のチャンピオンはXpengだ。年末の記事。ぜひ読んでみてほしい。これで一気に熱くなった

と、同時に

マキノブの資産形成ブログ

で、ユニティソフトウェアについて激しく書かれている

これで一気に悩んだ。悩みを促進しているのはさらに読んだ、2021年引き続きアメリカ株市場は
日本株市場よりも伸びる、というもの

たかだが50万円、正確には516,000円なのだが2銘柄に分けるべきなのか1銘柄にだけ行くべきか・・・
今気分的には株価を落として買いごろのシャオペンに全額ベット、なのだが夜になるまでは
わかりませんわ

「資産10倍ならアメリカ株、だよね」への527件のフィードバック

  1. とりあえず言える事は、Kさんが買ったところが当面の天井。

    もちろんKさんに相場を動かす力はないが、今までの実績を見る限り、散々我慢して買いたくなって飛びついたところが天井となっている実績はある。

    基本的にはそういう思考回路をしているという事。

    今回も買う動きを見せた途端に日経は暴落。
    Kさんが買いたくなってるという事は、そういう時期に来ていると一応参考指標として注意した方がいいとは思う。

  2. 日本株市場でさえ儲けられないのにアメリカ株市場って? 情報収集するのにも大変そうだけど

    Kさんがアメリカ株買う頃には今までの逆神振りからダウも天井だろ? 

  3. 1つ目の方だけとりあえず読ませてもらったが(2つ目の方はリンクが正しく機能しとらんね)、まぁ著者を悪く言ってるわけではないしもちろん楽しく愉快なブログだとは思うけれども、これは典型的な「それはあなたの願望ですよね」の枠を越えておらず、ただの希望的推測でしかない、当たるかもしれないし当たらないかもしれないいわば妄想に過ぎないので、この意見を真に受けて盛り上がるというか、実際の投資に影響を受けてしまうのはちょっと推奨しかねるな

    まぁXPEVのチャートの形的に、これ今まさにK氏がものごっつ好きそうなタイミングなんだろうなぁ…って気は、確かに、正直ありありとするね

    前回のコメントで書いた通り、こないだプチバブル的なピークをつけて、ちょうどつい最近落ち切って、「また上がりそうかな?上がるならこないだのピークぐらいは楽に超えてくれそうかな?」って思えるもんな、何のテクニカル分析もせずとも、パッと見の印象だけですらな
     
     
    だがまぁやっぱ、「この瞬間が勝負!千載一遇の絶好機を、完璧なタイミングで勝ち取るぜぇ~!」っていう投資は、これまでのK氏を見てきた限り、K氏の性格・能力ではやや荷が重すぎて無理であろう…と率直に思えてしまうのが正直な意見だね

    ちょうどこの機会にそういうのからは脱却というか卒業して、「いい株を落ち着いて、じっくりと(=いきなり全力は張らず)買い進めていく」っていう、何というか「大人な投資姿勢」に乗り換えるべき時なんじゃないかな、って気もするかな

    でもまぁ人には変われる所と変われない所があって、そこはK氏が(に限らず、人間誰でもだと思うけど)変われないポイントなのかなぁ、って気もすっけどね

    辛うじて、銘柄としては、勢い余って全力特攻して、多少続落したとしても、まぁ未来は明るいだろ、って気はするけど、正直ぶっちゃけそれだって単なる思い込みの希望的観測に過ぎないからね、やっぱ投資は難しいんだよな
     
     
    Uも、どう考えても成長性も将来性もあるし、間違いなく物凄くいい銘柄だと思うけど、「競合も結構強い」「valuation的にはやや高く、今後伸び続けていくためには、市場の大きな期待以上の成長が必要」みたいな分析意見も聞くからね、盲目的に全幅の信頼を置いて全力特攻するのは、やはり大きなリスクもあるといえるからね

    (その点はやっぱり、上場後十分な時間が経過してもう成熟されている、こないだのドラフト上位10社の方が強いように思う)
     
     
    「自分の買値が、この株のその日以降の史上最安値となり、この先未来永劫それより安くなる日が存在しなかった」なんてまずあり得ないから、tac氏も進言してる通り、どんなにいい株に見えてどんなに自信があっても、やっぱりせめて日本円にして5-10万円ぐらいは残しておいた方がいい気もすんね

    仮にマジで購入日以降の最安値で買えてて、追加購入したら建値が上がっちゃうような場合でも、それは保険に金を払ったとでも思って、必要経費だったんだと思えばえぇんだよ

    これを「損した!」としか思えない人は、やっぱ投資には向いてないように思えるな

    保険をバカにするやつは、何度か上手くいっても、やっぱいつか事故に遭ってより大きなしっぺ返しを食らうだけだからね、これも、もし今直せるなら直しといた方がいいポイントな気がするね

    (まぁ上述の通り、これは「ワンマン小型株脱却」みたいな「戦略」を見直すのではなく、「性格そのもの」を直す必要がある話だから、それはちょっと難しいのかな、って気もするけど)
     
     
     
    何かひたすら具体的に数字まで挙げて一押ししてたのから、いきなり何つーかフワッとしたネガティブめな意見投げてる感じになったけど、まぁ暴落した時のための予防線をまた張ってるっちゅう意味合いもあるわけだけれども、ちょっとK氏が前のめりになりすぎてるキライもあるので、カームダウン・クールダウンしてもえぇんちゃうかな、という意図も込めてのトーンダウンな感じだね

    SBIは日本円から直接外国株の買い付けはできないんだよね?

    とりあえず年初第一日(いっぴ)の取引は、「ドルがなくて買えなかったぞおおぉークソがあぁー」(全員ズコー)ってなって、いい感じでもうちょい様子見の時間が生まれてくれる、ぐらいでもえぇかもだね
     
     
    一応、もし今夜いきなり取引できちゃう時のために改めての結論も述べておくと、

    ・1銘柄よりは2銘柄、できれば更に1銘柄(U、XPEVといくなら、やっぱり少しローボラで安定感を取るために、QQQとか)

    ・使う資金も、40万円か、我慢できるなら30万円までに抑える
    (まぁあんまり絞っても、手数料の割合が高くなるだろうからあんまり賢い判断と言えなくなってくる気もするけど)

    …そうして、「たまにどちらかが下がってももう一方が踏ん張ってくれる頼もしさ」「潤沢な待機資金が備わっている強み」というのも学習できるといいんじゃないかな、って気がするね
     
     
    ま、昨日今日株取引を始めたウブな生娘でもあるまいし、あんまり気張らず楽しんでいこうぜ!

  4. 投稿したらコメがついてたけど、高値氏の指摘は、実際こないだのコメ書いてても「それはあるかもやね」と思ってたんだよな

    でもまぁプランスゴールドという別に市場経済の動向とは一切何の関係もないただの社会のダニに引っかかって、それで多少の紆余曲折を経てちょうど今資金が入った、ってだけであって、そのタイミングは別に恣意的なものじゃなくて偶然に過ぎないから、まぁやっぱ下がってもこればっかりは単なる偶然ちゃう?って気がするかな

    もちろん、特定のめっちゃ盛り上がってる個別株をK氏の思うタイミングで掴んで、それがテッペン付近だった、ってのは、ありがちな素人の裁量が思いっきり挟まってるから、逆指標として作用するってのは間違いなくあると思うけどね

    ただやっぱ今回の場合は、仮にK氏エントリー後にマジで大きく下がっても、それをK氏の行動と結びつけるのはあまり理知的な推察じゃない気がしちゃうかな(もちろん結びつけたくなるのはよく分かるけど)

    まぁある意味自分が焚きつけた当人だから、責任逃れでそう言いたいだけなんかもしれんけどね
     
     
    グィグィ氏のコメも、まさにその点指摘されるかなと思ってたけど、(またバカにしてる感じで申し訳ないが)正直収集した情報を上手く活用する力がK氏には全く備わってないから、むしろ下手な情報に引っかかるより却ってえぇことなんちゃう?って書こうと思ってたところだね

    まぁ結局K氏が触る銘柄なら、この記事にもK氏がのっけてた通り(ミケ氏が貼ってくれたのもそうだし)、情報は日本語でも存外いくらでもあるような気もするしね
     
     
    何かまたただの反論星人になってもうたが、まぁとりあえず、みんながこうして心配(&恐怖)するぐらいには、歴史はK氏の投資の腕がヤベぇレベルにあることを証明している、ってのは確かなんで、下手な人ってのは興奮すればするほどアカン方に突っ走ってしまうものだから、とりあえず落ち着いて臨もう、ってのが追加コメの要点だね

  5. 自分も含め周りのinvestorsは、大きな資金を動かす事を控えています。それは、決まっていて当然の米国次期大統領の行方がよく分からなくなってきているからです。米市場が上がっても金相場が下がらないのはこの影響です。ドルの下落もそれを表しています。仮想通貨が上昇しているのもこの影響です。そして、下がるだろうと言われている原油が中々下がらず、逆に直近上値にアタックをしています。何故なんだと思うかもしれませんが、近々起こるであろう地政学的リスクを織り込みに行っています。

    つまり今は新たなポジションをとる時期ではないという事です。それでも、どうしても米国株にエントリーをするのなら、せめて1/5のジョージア州の2議席を決める上院選決選投票の結果を見て、欧米人による米国株の投資スタンスや方向性を肌で感じてから実弾でトレードをした方がいいと思います。

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